If we don’t see a carryover of volatility following a week of major event risk, then next week could get off to a slow start with no major releases scheduled until Wednesday. Two rate decisions, two employment reports and the consumption figures from the world’s largest economy will garner traders focus. Improving labor markets and domestic demand will help fuel rising optimism and help the current theme of risk appetite. 

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Scheduled event risk was generally a disappointment for those seeking out volatility; but the data, combined with the stable backdrop of advancing risk appetite, would nonetheless push crude higher. A commodity of industrialization and speculation, oil extended its recently choppy trend to test yet another prominent, even number: $82.

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A return of risk appetite has generated NZD/USD support and has kept the pair within its medium term range. Upward trending commodity prices have helped limit downside risks as they currently account for 63% of price action.

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The U.S. economy lost another 36,000 jobs in February and the unemployment rate held at 9.7% according to the non-farm payroll report. Economists were forecasting a loss of 68,000 and a rise in the unemployment rate to 9.8%, as severe weather was expected to have forced some businesses to close.

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